Population dynamic modeling of the Māui dolphin based on genotype capture recapture with projections involving bycatch and disease risk



Posted on 15 June 2019   |  
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Dr. Justin Cooke, world renowned statistician and modeller used state of art modelling to produce new and more accurate estimates of population size, survival rates, and populations trends.  His analysis looks at what the population has done over the period 2001 – 2016, and as well as what the population is likely to do in the future depending on how much the human-caused threats are reduced.  Results show that in order to avoid the extinction of Maui dolphins, the human caused mortality must be reduced by an order of 50%-75% within 10 years. That means acting NOW.

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Cooke, J.G.; Constantine, R.; Hamner, R.M.; Baker, C.S. (2019). Population dynamic modeling of the Māui dolphin based on genotype capture recapture with projections involving bycatch and disease risk.  Report to Ministry for Primary Industries, rev. Mar 4 2019. (Partly funded by WWF-New Zealand).

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